STRC hits $100 by…

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket currently has **0% YES** on STRC printing a **$100** one-minute high before the settlement window closes, which means the market is treating a TradingView spike to that level as effectively absent for now. On Polymarket, that contract is bought and sold in **USDC** on **Polygon**, with the payout determined by the conditional token outcome rather than by the shares themselves, so traders are really pricing the chance of a brief tape print, not a sustained close.

That framing matters because STRC has already shown it can trade close to the threshold: Yahoo Finance lists a **52-week range of $71.25 to $100.42**, and recent reporting says Michael Saylor has reiterated that Strategy’s objective is for STRC to trade between **$99 and $100**. That makes the market a question of whether intraday liquidity, volatility, or a sharp repricing can deliver a one-minute high at or above $100, rather than whether the issue can merely drift into the high 90s.

For traders, the main catalysts are the same ones that move STRC’s tape in short bursts: Bitcoin’s price, Strategy’s cash and treasury commentary, and any fresh statement from management about the preferred’s target range or dividend mechanics. Recent coverage also noted that STRC had rebounded as cash reserves rose and Bitcoin prices steadied, while prediction markets moved higher on the year-end $100 idea, showing how quickly sentiment can shift when the underlying crypto and Strategy-specific balance-sheet story improve.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track STRC hits $100 by… across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

Is Polymarket legal in the UK?

Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.

Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?

UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.

How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?

UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.