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Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-In

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-In" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $169K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: BIG.A (-1.5) vs Entropy (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG Academy (-3.5) vs Entropy (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG Academy (-3.5) vs Entropy (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG Academy (-3.5) vs Entropy (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG Academy (-6.5) vs Entropy (+6.5)0%
Map Handicap: Entropy (-1.5) vs BIG Academy (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG Academy (-6.5) vs Entropy (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG Academy (-6.5) vs Entropy (+6.5)0%

Market context

The Counter-Strike 2 match between BIG Academy and Entropy in the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier Series 5 Play-In concluded on 20 July 2026, with Entropy securing a 2–1 victory in the BO3 format. This result means the prediction market titled “Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Entropy (BO3) – CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-In” will resolve to “Entropy”, rendering the current 0% YES price for BIG Academy accurate and final.

Historically, prediction markets on Polymarket that settle after a match ends but before resolution are often mispriced due to latency between event completion and on-chain settlement. In similar CS2 qualifier markets, conditional tokens on Polygon have traded at distorted prices for hours post-match, especially when USDC liquidity is thin. The 0% implied probability here reflects efficient pricing, as the outcome is already confirmed on third-party trackers like Offstage.ru and EnsiGame, which both record Entropy’s 2–1 win [1][3].

Traders should monitor the official CCT Europe settlement feed and any Polygon block confirmations for the resolution transaction. No further catalysts exist, as the match is complete and no delays or cancellations apply. The settlement window closes 2026-07-20T14:10:00Z, and since the result is known, the market will not revert to 50-50. For users on polymarket.za.com, this contract is effectively closed, with no upside in holding YES shares.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-In across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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