Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-3.5) vs Benched gods (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Benched gods (-3.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Benched gods (-3.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-3.5) vs Benched gods (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-3.5) vs Benched gods (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Benched gods (-6.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: CSH.P (-1.5) vs Benched gods (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: BG (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-6.5) vs Benched gods (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-6.5) vs Benched gods (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
CYBERSHOKE Prospects’ match against benched gods is being priced on Polymarket via USDC on Polygon, with the conditional token settling to the winning side once the BO3 result is confirmed. With the contract already showing a 100% YES crowd-implied probability, the market is effectively treating benched gods as fully expected to win or the event as already resolved in that direction.
That kind of pricing is easier to read when set against the head-to-head record and comparable CCT results. benched gods beat CYBERSHOKE Prospects 2–0 in a prior CS2 BO3 at CCT 2026 Contenders Europe Series 3, which gives traders a direct recent reference point for this matchup.[1] Community sentiment has also leaned the same way here: Strafe’s match page showed benched gods ahead with 76.5% of user votes, versus 23.5% for CYBERSHOKE Prospects.[2]
For traders, the main catalysts are whether the fixture is played on schedule, whether the lobby check-in and server assignment hold, and whether any bracket reshuffle or admin ruling affects the result window before settlement. Polymarket’s contract mechanics matter here because a non-played match, tie, or delay beyond seven days from the scheduled date can still force a 50-50 outcome rather than a normal win/loss resolution. Any official CCT update, map veto change, or last-minute roster announcement is therefore more relevant than the pre-match price itself.
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Benched gods… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →