Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs ODDIK (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: ODK (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Isurus (-6.5) vs ODDIK (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-3.5) vs Isurus (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-6.5) vs Isurus (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
Market context
ODDIK and Isurus are set for a best-of-three Grand Final in the CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs, and Polymarket is pricing the contract at **100% YES** on the ODDIK side today. On Polymarket, the market is a USDC-denominated conditional token on Polygon, so the price reflects where traders think the settlement outcome will land rather than the broader strength of either roster.
A 100% reading usually means the market is treating the result as functionally locked, often because the match has been completed, the official bracket is already published, or the event state leaves little room for a different settlement path. For users reading the contract mechanically, the important point is that this market resolves only on the match outcome, with a 50-50 fallback if the game is cancelled, ends without a winner, or is pushed beyond the seven-day window. That makes the price less about team reputation in the abstract and more about whether the official result is already beyond dispute.
The main catalysts to watch are organiser updates, lobby status, and any schedule changes from the tournament operator, because those determine whether the market stays tied to a recorded winner or slips into the timeout rules. If the grand final was delayed, forfeited, or never completed, the settlement logic matters more than the scoreboard at publication time. In practice, traders should focus on the official match page, broadcast start, and any post-match confirmation from CCT or the teams, since those are the signals that decide whether the token settles to ODDIK, Isurus, or the neutral 50-50 outcome.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South Am… on PolyGram
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