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Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group B

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group B" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $164K Liquidity: $278K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs SAW Youngsters (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs SAW Youngsters (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs SAW Youngsters (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs SAW Youngsters (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs SAW Youngsters (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs SAW Youngsters (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs SAW Youngsters (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Polymarket prices QUAZAR vs SAW Youngsters at **100% YES**, so the contract is being treated as a near-certain QUAZAR win rather than a balanced series. On Polymarket, that means users are effectively holding a USDC-denominated position on the outcome encoded through Polygon-based conditional tokens, with settlement depending on whether QUAZAR are officially declared the match winner.

That extreme price is best read against the wider market picture, which is less one-sided. Community pick data from Strafe shows SAW Youngsters attracting **80.8%** of votes versus **19.2%** for QUAZAR, while bookmaker-style pricing on Flapscore implies SAW Youngsters are still the more likely side, at odds of **2.57** compared with **1.48** for QUAZAR.[1][3] In other words, Polymarket’s current 100% reading looks far more decisive than comparable esports indicators, so traders will usually focus on whether the contract has already effectively locked in, or whether the order book is simply thin around the close.

The main catalysts are match confirmation, any delay in the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier schedule, and whether the BO3 starts and finishes before the settlement window closes. Pickem listed the fixture for **22 July 2026 at 20:00** local time,[2] while Robinhood’s market page shows the event as active on the day of play.[4] For Polymarket users, the key practical point is that if the match is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days, or otherwise fails to produce a winner, the contract can settle **50-50** instead of resolving to either team.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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