Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-3.5) vs Just Players (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-6.5) vs Just Players (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs Just Players (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-9.5) vs Just Players (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-12.5) vs Just Players (+12.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-3.5) vs Just Players (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-6.5) vs Just Players (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-3.5) vs Sashi Esport (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-3.5) vs Just Players (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-6.5) vs Just Players (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-3.5) vs Sashi Esport (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.5 | 0% |
Market context
Sashi Esport versus Just Players is live in a best-of-three CCT Europe Series #5 playoff match, and Polymarket is pricing the contract at **100% YES** today. On Polymarket, the trade settles in USDC on Polygon through conditional tokens, so the market is simply reflecting the expected winner of this specific series rather than a broader view on either team’s form.
That pricing sits in line with how the bracket and recent comparables are being read. Liquipedia lists CCT Europe Series #5 as a single-elimination playoff running from 30 July to 2 August, with all playoff matches played as Bo3s.[3] Independent match pages also show the fixture as underway, with live score coverage indicating Sashi and Just Players are in action rather than awaiting a reschedule.[1][5] Pre-match snapshot sites were split, with Strafe giving Sashi a clear edge and other models closer to a coin-flip, which helps explain why a fully pinned 100% price is mainly about the current live state, not just pre-game expectation.[7][8]
For traders, the key catalysts are operational rather than speculative: official match progression, whether the series completes, and any tournament-side delay or abandonment. The market description states that if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed more than seven days without a winner, it resolves 50-50, so a live walkover, admin ruling, or abandoned server state would matter more than pre-match odds.[2] The settlement window runs to 2026-08-01T20:30:00Z, so the relevant watchpoints are whether the BO3 reaches completion and whether any map is voided or the fixture is otherwise left without an official winner by that deadline.[2][3]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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