Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

Market context

Dandelions are trading at **0% YES** on Polymarket for this BO3, with the contract settled in USDC on Polygon through conditional tokens rather than a cash bet on the game itself. In practical terms, the market is saying the chance of a Dandelions win is effectively priced out, while the opposite side, Zero Tenacity, is treated as the near-certain outcome for now.

That kind of pricing is usually easiest to read against wider Dota 2 match data when one side is listed as a heavy favourite. A recent match page for this fixture showed Dandelions at **8.18** and Zero Tenacity at **1.07** in decimal odds, which is the sort of gap that often maps to an overwhelmingly one-sided prediction market price[1]. For Polymarket users, the key point is not just strength on paper but whether the game is actually completed: if the match is not played, ends tied, or slips more than seven days past schedule without a winner, the contract resolves 50-50.

The main catalysts are simple but important: final start confirmation, any format or schedule changes from the organiser, and whether the series runs on time before the settlement window closes. The market description says the match was initially scheduled for 23 July at 3:00 AM ET, so any delay, postponement, or abandonment matters more here than usual because it can flip a seemingly settled favourite into a neutral resolution. Traders also need to watch for the match going live but not finishing, since partial completion can still lead to a defined winner under the event rules.

Sources: 1

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.