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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - More Markets

Live odds for "Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - More Markets" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Any Player Rampage 63% Game 1 Winner 51% Game 2 Winner 51% Ends in Daytime 50% Volume: $167K Liquidity: $346K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
63% 37% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
63% 37% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Player Rampage63%
Game 1 Winner51%
Game 2 Winner51%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 1?45%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks44%
Both Teams Beat Roshan42%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?42%
Ends in Daytime39%
Any Player Ultra Kill36%
First Blood in Game 2?35%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?33%

Market context

Polymarket has this contract at **51% YES** today, which is close to a coin-flip and implies the market is only slightly leaning towards there being additional markets on Team Liquid’s best-of-two against LGD Gaming. On Polymarket, that view is expressed with **USDC** on **Polygon**, where the event is represented by conditional tokens that settle according to the listed outcome.

For context, the teams have a long and fairly balanced recent history. Across head-to-head records, Liquid and LGD have traded wins over multiple seasons, with one recent database showing 12 Liquid wins versus 15 for LGD and seven draws, while another listing puts their latest meeting at BLAST Slam VII on 5 June 2026, when LGD beat Liquid 2–0.[1][4] That kind of record usually supports a mid-range price rather than a strong directional view: neither side has a decisive structural edge, and a best-of-two format can keep the series outcome sensitive to map-level variance.[2][3]

The main trader catalysts are lineup and schedule confirmation close to match time, plus any changes to the surrounding tournament format that alter whether “more markets” are offered after the series begins. Liquid’s recent results include a 1–1 with MOUZ at 1win Essence and a mixed set of Esports World Cup results, while LGD’s recent head-to-head win over Liquid suggests they enter with some practical upside if current form carries over.[9][12][14] Because settlement ends shortly after the scheduled start, the price can move quickly on last-minute roster news, match delays, or anything that changes the scope of eligible sub-markets.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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