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Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% Ends in Daytime 100% O/U 2.5 Games 84% Match Winner 59% Volume: $177K Liquidity: $456K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Ends in Daytime100%
O/U 2.5 Games84%
Match Winner59%
Both Teams Beat Roshan55%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks55%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Game 2 Winner19%
Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)17%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5)1%
Any Player Rampage0%

Market context

Polymarket currently prices **Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine** at **62% YES**, which means the contract is trading as if Power Rangers are more likely to win the BO3 than Yellow Submarine. On Polymarket, the position settles in USDC on Polygon through conditional tokens: a buyer of YES is effectively backing Power Rangers to take the series, while a failure to play the match at all, a tie, or a delay beyond seven days from the scheduled date would push the market to 50-50 under the rule set.

That price sits in the middle of a useful recent comparison set. Polymarket’s own event page notes that Yellow Submarine beat Power Rangers 2-1 in the TI 2026 Europe closed qualifier at the end of June, but also says Yellow Submarine have since posted more mixed results, while traders have been leaning on Power Rangers’ momentum and map dominance in the current patch and online European/CIS setting.[4] Independent match listings also show the teams meeting again in a best-of-three at the EPL Masters Playoffs today, with the bracket starting from the upper quarter-final stage.[2][13][14] In other words, 62% implies the market is giving Power Rangers a clear edge, but not enough to ignore the head-to-head result from a few weeks ago.[8][10]

The main trader catalysts are simple: whether the series starts on time, whether the bracket order shifts, and whether either roster change or scheduling update lands close to the slate. Live schedule pages and stream listings show the match as active around 09:00 UTC, with the rest of the playoff card stacked behind it, so any delay or reseeding announcement would matter quickly for contract pricing.[1][2][3][7][14] The settlement clock also matters: if the series is not played, or is delayed more than seven days without a winner, the market does not resolve to either team.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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