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Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 95% Both Teams Beat Roshan 91% Volume: $863K Liquidity: $672K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?95%
Both Teams Beat Roshan91%
Any Player Ultra Kill90%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Any Player Rampage10%
First Blood in Game 2?10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks9%
Ends in Daytime1%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to dota 2: virtus.pro vs 1win (bo2) - esports world cup group d. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Virtus.pro and 1win in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 8 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.p…

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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