Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this contract at **100% YES**, so the on-chain market is effectively treating Yellow Submarine as having already secured the BO3 against Execration. On Polymarket, that exposure sits in **USDC** on **Polygon**, with the contract resolving through conditional tokens when the event result is final.

That price should be read against the fixture’s timing rather than the abstract matchup. Multiple schedule trackers list Yellow Submarine v Execration in Games of the Future Group A for **31 July at 05:00 UTC**[1][14], while one betting listing shows the match as **cancelled/postponed**[6] and another score page already records the series as **finished 2:0**[5]. For a prediction market, that mix matters because the outcome depends not just on who wins, but on whether the match was actually played to completion before the settlement window closes.

The main catalysts are therefore operational: official bracket updates, stream confirmation, and any change to start time or completion status. If the match was delayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date, or never played, the market’s rules point to a **50-50** resolution rather than a team win. Traders should watch tournament channels and live score services closely, because a “finished” listing, a postponement notice, or a completed BO3 from the event broadcaster can move the contract faster than pre-match form.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.