LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

Market context

Anyone’s Legend face Karmine Corp in the League of Legends Quarterfinal 2 of the Esports World Cup Playoffs, a BO3 match scheduled to begin at 7:00 AM ET today. On Polymarket, this contract trades at 73% YES, implying a strong on-chain expectation that Anyone’s Legend will win the match. Traders holding conditional tokens on Polygon can settle their positions in USDC once the result is confirmed, with the settlement window closing at 19:30 UTC on 17 July 2026.

Historical precedent in similar BO3 esports markets shows that crowd-implied probabilities above 70% often align with actual outcomes, though early-game volatility can shift odds sharply if a team underperforms in Game 1. In past Esports World Cup matches, teams with similar pre-match voting shares (like Anyone’s Legend’s 73.3% on Strafe[1]) have converted those advantages into wins, but upsets remain common when lower-ranked squads secure early dragon control or teamfight dominance.

Key catalysts include the official match start time, any pre-game roster announcements, and live in-game metrics such as first dragon or first tower. DAZN will stream the tournament globally, excluding restricted regions, offering real-time data for traders monitoring momentum shifts[3]. Watch for any delay notices beyond seven days, which would trigger a 50-50 resolution, and confirm that Game 3 occurs if the market hinges on elemental dragon slays as per conditional token rules[2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.