LoL: The Bandits vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing The Bandits at **100%** in USDC on Polygon for this best-of-three, so the contract is effectively trading as a complete lock rather than a normal two-sided match-up. In practical terms, that means conditional tokens are almost entirely assigned to the The Bandits outcome, with ZennIT and any settlement edge cases already being reflected in the current price.

For traders, a 100% market usually appears when the event is expected to be played and one side is seen as overwhelmingly likely, but it can also reflect the market’s view that there is no realistic dispute left before settlement. In esports, comparable regular-season contracts often stay pinned once team news, roster stability, and fixture confirmation all point the same way; on-chain pricing then becomes less about handicapping the game itself and more about whether the match is actually completed, postponed, or voided under the market rules.

The main catalysts to watch are the organiser’s scheduling updates, any last-minute roster or substitution announcements, and whether the BO3 starts and finishes within the settlement window. Because this market resolves to 50-50 if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner, the relevant risk for holders is not price direction but execution: a late reschedule, technical issue, or forfeiture scenario would matter more than in-game form.

Methodology

We track LoL: The Bandits vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.