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LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 56% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 56% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 51% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 51% Volume: $133K Liquidity: $276K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?56%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Game 1 Winner49%
Game 2 Winner49%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Match Winner47%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?42%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?42%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)28%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: dplus kia vs t1 (bo3) - lck round 3-4 legend group stands at 56% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and T1 in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 6 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus K…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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