LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing DN SOOPers at **36%** on the USDC-settled Polygon contract, which is below a two-way coin flip and implies the market currently favours HANJIN BRION. For a trader, that means the main question is not whether the teams are close, but whether the gap is large enough to justify DN SOOPers trading well under 50% in a best-of-three that settles on the official result or, if needed, the market’s fallback rules for cancellation or a prolonged delay.

The historical read is straightforward: these sides have already met this season, and HANJIN BRION beat DN SOOPers 2-0 in LCK play earlier in 2026, while other match databases also show HANJIN BRION with the stronger head-to-head record overall[14][15]. Public pre-match data also points the same way, with GosuGamers listing HANJIN BRION around world rank 131 and DN SOOPers around 150 for this fixture, and Flashscore showing DN SOOPers as the underdog in the pair’s latest listing[2][3]. On that basis, a 36% price is consistent with the market treating DN SOOPers as live, but not clearly favoured.

The near-term catalysts are procedural rather than narrative: the key watchpoint is whether the match starts on schedule, because Polymarket’s conditional tokens only resolve once the official outcome is known, while an abandoned, cancelled, tied, or materially delayed match can trigger the 50-50 fallback[4]. The scheduled start time in match feeds is around 08:00 UTC / 04:00 ET, so any late roster note, schedule slip, or broadcast change could matter more to the contract than the pre-match form alone[2][3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.