LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Platform comparison

Market context

DN SOOPers face KT Rolster in a KeSPA Cup Group Stage BO1 match that was scheduled for 5:45AM ET on 20 July, yet Polymarket prices the contract at 0% YES for SOOPers today, implying the market views their win as virtually impossible. On Polygon, this conditional token trades in USDC, where the zero price reflects either a confirmed forfeiture, a team absence, or a cancellation that has already occurred off-chain but not yet updated in official tournament logs.

Historically, LoL prediction markets hitting 0% before a match date usually signal a pre-emptive resolution due to roster ineligibility or a withdrawn team, as seen in past KeSPA and regional cup cancellations where one side failed to register a legal lineup. In those cases, the market resolved to the 50-50 default clause once the tournament admin confirmed the match would not proceed, rather than waiting for a forfeit during play.

Traders should monitor the official KeSPA Cup schedule and roster announcements for DN SOOPers, as any update confirming a team withdrawal or roster disqualification will lock the 50-50 settlement. A recent KeSPA Cup roster verification notice from the tournament organiser on 19 July highlighted strict eligibility checks, and if SOOPers fail to meet these, the contract will resolve to the tie clause without a match occurring [1].

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.