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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 87% Game 1 Winner 78% Game 2 Winner 78% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 62% Volume: $101K Liquidity: $239K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
87% 13% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
87% 13% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner87%
Game 1 Winner78%
Game 2 Winner78%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?62%
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)61%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon61%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?60%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Any Player Penta Kill57%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?43%
O/U 2.5 Games33%
Any Player Quadra Kill33%
Any Player Quadra Kill33%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor31%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors31%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor31%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors31%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana — current market-implied probability: 87%. This market refers to the LoL match between Invictus Gaming and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 9 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if I…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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