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LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 100% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? 90% Volume: $999K Liquidity: $644K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?90%
O/U 2.5 Games76%
Match Winner70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?50%
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)45%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?39%
Game 2 Winner17%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: movistar koi vs gam esports (bo3) - esports world cup group c stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Movistar KOI and GAM Esports in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 15 at 9:40AM ET. Th…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports Wor… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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