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LoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Volume: $162K Liquidity: $178K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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LoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Game 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%

Market context

Maryville University already defeated Dorado Gaming 2–0 in the North American Challengers League Group Stage on 8 April 2026, meaning the match referenced in this July 2026 contract has already concluded. The market’s 0% YES probability reflects that the event is settled in reality, with Maryville University confirmed as the winner across multiple esports trackers [3][4][5]. On Polymarket, this USDC contract on Polygon trades as a conditional token with no open liquidity, since the underlying outcome is historically fixed and the settlement window extends to July 2026 only to accommodate administrative confirmation.

Historical precedents for post-event prediction markets show that contracts listing already-completed matches typically resolve to the actual winner once official records are verified, with no chance of a 50-50 split unless the match was never played. In this case, three independent sources confirm Maryville University won 2–0 in a BO3 format, eliminating any ambiguity about cancellation or tie scenarios [3][4][7]. The 0% price aligns with bookmaker odds from April that gave Maryville a 1.01 implied win probability, treating Dorado as a 10.81 outsider [4].

Traders should monitor the official resolution timestamp on Polymarket and cross-check with the North American Challengers League’s published results page for any administrative delays. No new announcements or schedule changes are expected, as the match date (8 April 2026) is past and the outcome is documented [1][5]. The only dependency is the platform’s confirmation process, which typically finalises within days once the event date passes and results are archived.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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