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LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5) 100% Volume: $175K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%

Market context

NRG Esports and CCG Esports are scheduled to meet in a best-of-three League of Legends series in the North American Challengers League, and Polymarket is pricing the contract at **100% Yes** for the current outcome. On-chain, that means traders are effectively holding a USDC-settled position on Polygon via conditional tokens, with the market’s settlement tied to the match result rather than the broader season narrative.

That pricing is easier to read against the teams’ recent head-to-head record. The most recent listed meeting in the NACL Spring split was won by CCG Esports 2–0, while a separate match record from the same rivalry shows NRG winning 2–1, which points to a volatile pairing rather than a one-sided historical matchup.[1][2] In prediction-market terms, a 100% quote usually indicates the contract is already being treated as a near-certain resolution, or that liquidity has dried up and the displayed price is not a robust view of true win probability.

The main catalysts for traders are basic but important: whether Riot or the league changes the schedule, whether either roster is substituted or disqualified, and whether the match is actually played and completed before the settlement window closes. Because this market resolves only if a winner is determined, any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days would push it to a 50-50 outcome under the contract rules. One additional point of care: the live market page should be checked against the exact resolution text, since the public listing can differ from the contract description.[3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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