Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this RMD Gaming v Vivo Keyd Stars Academy BO1 at **0% YES** today, which is consistent with the market already having a resolved-looking outcome rather than a live uncertainty trade. The contract settles on the winner, but if the match is not played, ends level, or slips more than seven days beyond schedule without a winner, it resolves **50-50** in USDC on Polygon via conditional tokens, so traders are really watching whether the on-chain market still reflects an unresolved event or simply stale pricing around a finished fixture.
The historical frame is not close: these sides met earlier in 2026 in Circuito Desafiante, with RMD Gaming winning one BO1 in April and Vivo Keyd Stars Academy winning another in July. External match pages show the 22 July meeting as finished, with Vivo Keyd Stars Academy taking it 1-0, which would normally leave a Polymarket contract on the losing side effectively dead unless the market is mis-specified or the settlement source has not yet updated. That is the key context for reading a 0% print: it is less a view on team strength than a signal that the market expects no YES resolution.
The practical catalysts are straightforward: official fixture status, any late dispute over whether the map was completed, and whether the result is confirmed inside the seven-day settlement window. A trader should check tournament scheduling updates, organiser posts, and the match result feed, because in esports markets the difference between “played and settled” and “cancelled/delayed” can determine whether the contract resolves to one side or to 50-50. The near-term risk is not form, draft, or roster news; it is administrative confirmation.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: RMD Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: RMD Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - C… on PolyGram
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