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LoL: RMD Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: RMD Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Match Winner 0% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 0% Volume: $116K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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LoL: RMD Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Match Winner0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this RMD Gaming v Vivo Keyd Stars Academy BO1 at **0% YES** today, which is consistent with the market already having a resolved-looking outcome rather than a live uncertainty trade. The contract settles on the winner, but if the match is not played, ends level, or slips more than seven days beyond schedule without a winner, it resolves **50-50** in USDC on Polygon via conditional tokens, so traders are really watching whether the on-chain market still reflects an unresolved event or simply stale pricing around a finished fixture.

The historical frame is not close: these sides met earlier in 2026 in Circuito Desafiante, with RMD Gaming winning one BO1 in April and Vivo Keyd Stars Academy winning another in July. External match pages show the 22 July meeting as finished, with Vivo Keyd Stars Academy taking it 1-0, which would normally leave a Polymarket contract on the losing side effectively dead unless the market is mis-specified or the settlement source has not yet updated. That is the key context for reading a 0% print: it is less a view on team strength than a signal that the market expects no YES resolution.

The practical catalysts are straightforward: official fixture status, any late dispute over whether the map was completed, and whether the result is confirmed inside the seven-day settlement window. A trader should check tournament scheduling updates, organiser posts, and the match result feed, because in esports markets the difference between “played and settled” and “cancelled/delayed” can determine whether the contract resolves to one side or to 50-50. The near-term risk is not form, draft, or roster news; it is administrative confirmation.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: RMD Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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