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LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Volume: $181K Liquidity: $163K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors25%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (+1.5)0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%

Market context

Polymarket is pricing ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS at **0% YES**, so the contract is effectively saying there is no live chance of a ROSSMANN Centaurs win on the current order book, with settlement depending on the match result, cancellation, or a delay beyond seven days through the market’s USDC-backed conditional token framework on Polygon. The real-world event is a best-of-three League of Legends match in Prime League 1st Division Group A, and comparable listings show this pairing was already played earlier in the summer 2026 season, with E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS reported as the winner in a 0:2 result, which helps explain why the market may be pinned at the floor rather than trading on fresh match uncertainty.[2][6]

For traders reading this contract, the key issue is not just who is stronger on paper but whether the scheduled fixture is actually going ahead and whether any schedule change falls inside the market’s seven-day settlement rule. Strafe and other match listings place the pairing in the Prime League Summer 2026 context, but the important catalyst is any official confirmation from the league or team channels around start time, postponement, roster changes, or a reschedule, because a non-played match or excessive delay resolves 50-50 rather than to either team.[1][5] In practice, that means the token price is driven as much by event integrity and timing as by in-game form.[1][2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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