LoL: ZennIT vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

ZennIT and Senshi Esports Club are set to face off in a League of Legends match for the Road Of Legends Regular Season, initially scheduled for 16 July at 2:00 PM ET. On Polymarket, this contract currently trades at a 0% implied probability for ZennIT winning, suggesting the crowd expects a Senshi Esports victory or a cancellation event. The market resolves to ZennIT if they win, to Senshi Esports Club if they win, and to a 50-50 split if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a result.

Historical precedents in LoL prediction markets show that a 0% price often precedes a team’s confirmed defeat or a scheduled cancellation rather than a genuine upset chance. In a recent Road Of Legends encounter, Senshi Esports defeated ZennIT with a decisive 0:3 scoreline over three hours and ten minutes, reinforcing the perception of a dominant gap in form [1]. Such outcomes typically anchor conditional token pricing on Polygon, where USDC liquidity flows heavily toward the perceived winner until new information shifts the on-chain odds.

Traders should monitor official Road Of Legends announcements for any schedule changes, team roster updates, or match cancellations, as these are the primary catalysts that could reset the 50-50 settlement clause. The match’s dependency on the tournament’s regular season schedule means any delay beyond the seven-day window triggers the split resolution, a mechanic that has previously caused rapid price corrections in similar esports contracts. No recent news source has confirmed a cancellation, but the absence of pre-match hype suggests the market is pricing in a near-certain Senshi Esports win based on prior performance.

Sources: 1

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.