Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 10% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket prices ZYB Esport to beat Galions at **0% YES** right now, so the contract is trading as if Galions are a near-certain winner in this BO1. On Polymarket, that means users are effectively positioning USDC on Polygon through conditional tokens tied to the match outcome, with the market resolving to ZYB only if they win the listed LFL regular-season game.
The historical read-through supports that pricing. Galions have won all three reported head-to-head meetings this year, including a 1-0 win over ZYB on 15 April, while ZYB’s recent run has been poor, with no wins in their last five on one match-tracker and a 0% recent win rate cited by Bo3.gg. Galions also look stronger on the season metrics in those same trackers, though BO1 formats always leave room for variance and single-map draft swings can matter more than long-series form.[1][2][5]
For traders, the main catalysts are simple: whether the match starts on schedule, whether the official LFL listing is confirmed, and whether any late roster or technical changes appear before lock. Multiple match pages still show the fixture as a BO1 set for 30 July at 19:00 UTC, which matters because settlement only changes to 50-50 if the game is cancelled, delayed too far, or never produces a winner; once play begins, forfeits and disqualifications are still decisive under the contract rules.[4][5][12]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: ZYB Esport vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Season on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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