LoL: ZYB Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this ZYB Esport vs Skillcamp Esport Bo1 at **0% YES**, even though the contract resolves on the match outcome rather than the broader form of either roster. On Polymarket, buyers hold USDC on Polygon and the market settles through conditional tokens, so a 0% quote means the crowd is assigning essentially no chance to ZYB winning under the contract rules.

Recent comparable cases show why a flat zero should be read carefully: in short League of Legends series, the market often reprices sharply only once a result is formally recorded, especially when the match is already under way or has finished behind the scenes but not yet propagated across listings. Here, an external match listing reports ZYB as the winner 1-0, with the game lasting 40 minutes, which is exactly the kind of post-match confirmation that would normally move a settled or still-open market away from zero once the result is reflected consistently across data sources.[1]

For a trader, the key catalysts are not team reputation alone but whether the LFL schedule, official match page, or third-party score feeds confirm completion before the 7-day delay rule bites. Because this market resolves to 50-50 if the fixture is cancelled, tied, or left without a winner beyond the delay window, the practical watch-list is official bracket updates, any rescheduling notice, and whether the listed result is accepted by the market’s source of truth. If the reported 1-0 result is upheld, the contract should resolve to ZYB; if not, the fallback mechanics matter more than the pre-match price.[1]

Sources: 1

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.