Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 3 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-2.5) vs KRÜ Spark (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-2.5) vs KRÜ Spark (+2.5) | 100% |
| Match Winner | 78% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 50% |
| Map Handicap: KRÜ Spark (-2.5) vs BESTIA (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Spark (-2.5) vs BESTIA (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 5 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Spark (-2.5) vs BESTIA (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs KRÜ Spark (+1.5) | 50% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-2.5) vs KRÜ Spark (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 5 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-2.5) vs KRÜ Spark (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs KRÜ Spark (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 4 Winner | 46% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Spark (-2.5) vs BESTIA (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: KRÜ Spark (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Spark (-2.5) vs BESTIA (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Spark (-2.5) vs BESTIA (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: BST (-2.5) vs KRÜ Spark (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-2.5) vs KRÜ Spark (+2.5) | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: bestia vs krü spark (bo5) - vcl latin america south: playoffs. This market refers to the Valorant Grand final match between BESTIA and KRÜ Spark in the VCL Latin America South: Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 12 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark (BO5) - VCL Latin Amer… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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