Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map Handicap: ZETA (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 54% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-4.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-3.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 46% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: RRQ (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-4.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-3.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-4.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-3.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-2.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+2.5) | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION at **0% YES** right now, so the contract is effectively saying the market sees no live chance of the listed outcome before settlement. For traders on Polymarket, that matters because the position is held in **USDC** on **Polygon** and settles through conditional tokens, so the only thing that counts is the official match result under the market rules, not reputation, map narrative, or implied strength alone.[1][2]
The historical read-through is one-sided: recent public match records show Rex Regum Qeon beat ZETA DIVISION 2-0 in one meeting, while another earlier head-to-head went ZETA’s way 2-1, so the rivalry has not been perfectly static.[3][4] But comparison markets and community pricing have leaned heavily towards Rex Regum Qeon, with one Strafe listing showing 84.4% for RRQ and another showing unanimous user support for RRQ, while sportsbook-style odds also had RRQ as a strong favourite at 1.17 versus 4.4 for ZETA.[5][6][7]
For a trader, the main catalysts are straightforward: the official start, any late schedule change, roster or technical delay, and whether the match actually reaches a completed result before the 7-day cutoff. Polymarket’s own contract language means cancellation, a tie, or a delay beyond that window can force a 50-50 resolution, while an incomplete match can still resolve if a winner is determined under the stated conditions.[1][2]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VC… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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