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Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

SpaceX 86% xAI 26% Anthropic 14% OpenAI 1% Volume: $4.4M Liquidity: $612K Closes: 31 Dec 2026
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Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
86% 14% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
86% 14% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
SpaceX86%
xAI26%
Anthropic14%
OpenAI1%
Placeholder K0%
Placeholder O0%
Placeholder Q0%
Placeholder S0%
Placeholder AA0%
Placeholder AE0%
Placeholder AG0%
Placeholder AN0%
Placeholder AQ0%
Placeholder AT0%
Placeholder AV0%
Placeholder AW0%
Placeholder BC0%
Placeholder BG0%
Discord0%
Placeholder B0%
Placeholder E0%
ByteDance0%
Stripe0%
Kraken0%
Other0%
SHEIN0%
Waymo0%
Revolut0%
Perplexity AI0%
Placeholder A0%
Placeholder D0%
Placeholder G0%
Placeholder I0%
Databricks0%
Placeholder C0%
Placeholder F0%
Placeholder H0%
Placeholder J0%
Placeholder P0%
Placeholder R0%
Placeholder Z0%
Placeholder AB0%
Placeholder AD0%
Placeholder AF0%
Placeholder AH0%
Placeholder AJ0%
Placeholder AK0%
Placeholder AP0%
Placeholder AS0%
Placeholder AY0%
Placeholder BD0%
Placeholder BH0%
Placeholder L0%
Placeholder M0%
Placeholder T0%
Placeholder U0%
Placeholder W0%
Placeholder Y0%
Placeholder AI0%
Placeholder AL0%
Placeholder AR0%
Placeholder AU0%
Placeholder AZ0%
Placeholder BB0%
Placeholder BE0%
Placeholder BF0%
Placeholder N0%
Placeholder V0%
Placeholder X0%
Placeholder AC0%
Placeholder AM0%
Placeholder AO0%
Placeholder AX0%
Placeholder BA0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 86% probability to largest ipo by market cap in 2026?. This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve …

Methodology

This page reviews Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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