Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
99% | 1% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
99% | 1% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Shakira | 99% |
| Coldplay | 99% |
| Justin Bieber | 99% |
| BTS | 99% |
| Burna Boy | 97% |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 13% |
| Maluma | 7% |
| Tems | 7% |
| Drake | 6% |
| Camila Cabello | 6% |
| Lady Gaga | 5% |
| Jennifer Lopez | 5% |
| Wizkid | 5% |
| The Weeknd | 4% |
| J Balvin | 4% |
| Dua Lipa | 4% |
| Cardi B | 4% |
| Rauw Alejandro | 3% |
| Post Malone | 3% |
| Travis Scott | 3% |
| Charli XCX | 3% |
| Calvin Harris | 3% |
| Rihanna | 2% |
| Bad Bunny | 2% |
| Taylor Swift | 2% |
| Karol G | 2% |
| Ed Sheeran | 2% |
| Rosalía | 2% |
| Bruno Mars | 2% |
| Billie Eilish | 2% |
| Ariana Grande | 2% |
| Daddy Yankee | 2% |
| Kendrick Lamar | 2% |
| Jay-Z | 2% |
| Olivia Rodrigo | 2% |
| Nicki Minaj | 2% |
| Adele | 2% |
| Sam Smith | 2% |
| Feid | 2% |
| Peso Pluma | 2% |
| Davido | 2% |
| David Guetta | 2% |
| Beyoncé | 1% |
| Pitbull | 1% |
| Eminem | 1% |
| Harry Styles | 1% |
| Chappell Roan | 1% |
| SZA | 1% |
| Myke Towers | 1% |
| Anuel AA | 1% |
| Ozuna | 0% |
Market context
The Who will perform at World Cup halftime show? prediction market currently prices this outcome at 99% YES. FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will take place at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The show will be produced by Global Citizen. T…
Methodology
This page reviews Who will perform at World Cup halftime show? across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Who will perform at World Cup halftime show? on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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