Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Generali Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sandro Kopp | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Generali Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sandro Kopp Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Generali Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sandro Kopp Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Generali Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sandro Kopp Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sandro Kopp Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sandro Kopp Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sandro Kopp Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Generali Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sandro Kopp Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Generali Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sandro Kopp Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Generali Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sandro Kopp Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Generali Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sandro Kopp Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Generali Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sandro Kopp Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Generali Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sandro Kopp Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Generali Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sandro Kopp Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of generali open, qualification: kilian feldbausch vs sandro kopp. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Kilian Feldbausch and Sandro Kopp in the Generali Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This mar…
Methodology
We track Generali Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sandro Kopp across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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