Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
17% | 83% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
17% | 83% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | 17% |
| Seattle Seahawks | 7% |
| Buffalo Bills | 7% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 6% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 4% |
| Denver Broncos | 4% |
| Detroit Lions | 4% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 3% |
| Chicago Bears | 3% |
| Dallas Cowboys | 3% |
| Houston Texans | 3% |
| New England Patriots | 3% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2% |
| Green Bay Packers | 2% |
| Minnesota Vikings | 1% |
| New York Giants | 1% |
| New Orleans Saints | 1% |
| New York Jets | 1% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1% |
| Tennessee Titans | 1% |
| Washington Commanders | 1% |
| Arizona Cardinals | 1% |
| Atlanta Falcons | 1% |
| Cleveland Browns | 1% |
| Indianapolis Colts | 1% |
| Carolina Panthers | 1% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 1% |
| Miami Dolphins | 1% |
| Other | 0% |
Market context
The NFL Champion 2027 prediction market currently prices this outcome at 17% YES. This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rul…
Methodology
This page reviews NFL Champion 2027 across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Trade NFL Champion 2027 on PolyGram
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