Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
22% | 78% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
22% | 78% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Vitality | 22% |
| Falcons | 21% |
| Spirit | 19% |
| FURIA | 11% |
| G2 | 7% |
| Aurora | 6% |
| MOUZ | 6% |
| The MongolZ | 5% |
| FUT | 3% |
| GamerLegion | 2% |
| Astralis | 1% |
| FaZe | 1% |
| Liquid | 1% |
| Alliance | 1% |
| HEROIC | 1% |
| OG | 1% |
| magic | 0% |
| paiN | 0% |
| M80 | 0% |
| Ninjas in Pyjamas | 0% |
| 3DMAX | 0% |
| EYEBALLERS | 0% |
| Sharks | 0% |
| Nemesis | 0% |
| Gentle Mates | 0% |
| Wildcard | 0% |
| SINNERS | 0% |
| FOKUS | 0% |
| Nuclear TigeRES | 0% |
| HOTU | 0% |
| 100 Thieves | 0% |
| Nemiga | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 22% chance of blast bounty 2026 season 2: qualify to lan. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve according to the 8 teams that make BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 LAN Finals, scheduled for July 30 to August 2, 2026 at BLAST Studio in Malta. If BLAST Bount…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Qualify to LAN on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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