Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| SC Internacional O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| SC Internacional 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 81% |
| SC Internacional O/U 1.5 | 67% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| SC Internacional 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| SC Internacional 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Clube do Remo 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Clube do Remo 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| SC Internacional (-1.5) | 49% |
| O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score | 42% |
| Clube do Remo O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| SC Internacional O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| SC Internacional (-2.5) | 20% |
| Clube do Remo O/U 1.5 | 10% |
| O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| O/U 5.5 | 2% |
| Clube do Remo (-1.5) | 1% |
| Clube do Remo (-2.5) | 1% |
| Clube do Remo O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| SC Internacional 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Clube do Remo 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Clube do Remo 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Internacional vs Remo is priced by Polymarket at 49% YES, a near coin-flip that sits only slightly below parity for a market settled on the result of a Brazil Série A match now scheduled at Beira-Rio in Porto Alegre, with the contract running on USDC on Polygon through conditional tokens. For a Polymarket user, that means the tape is effectively saying the available information leaves the more market-specific outcome just shy of even odds, not a clear favourite.
Comparable framing is limited because this is the teams’ second meeting in the competition this season, and the earlier league meeting ended 1-1, which is consistent with a market that has not built a strong directional edge either way. Team records entering the fixture have also been close enough to keep the price compressed, with Internacional and Remo both sitting in the lower-middle range of the table rather than in radically different form bands.
The main catalysts to watch are simple: confirmed line-ups, any late injury or suspension updates, and whether the scheduled kick-off holds at 23:00 UTC, because these contracts settle on the on-chain market’s defined window rather than on narrative alone. Broadcast and match listings placed the game on 17 August at Beira-Rio, and any last-minute official team news or schedule changes would be the most direct drivers of a repricing before settlement.
Methodology
This page reviews SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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