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Alabama vs. Tennessee

Five-platform snapshot of "Alabama vs. Tennessee" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1H O/U 21.5 100% 1Q O/U 7.5 100% 2Q O/U 7.5 100% 1Q Spread -1.5 100% Volume: $519K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Alabama vs. Tennessee

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1H O/U 21.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
O/U 35.585%
4Q O/U 7.578%
Spread -0.577%
O/U 37.575%
O/U 39.571%
Alabama O/U 20.570%
O/U 41.566%
Alabama vs. Tennessee64%
Spread -0.564%
Spread -1.560%
Alabama O/U 23.558%
3Q O/U 7.557%
O/U 43.556%
Spread -2.555%
2Q O/U 10.555%
2Q Spread -3.554%
2Q Spread -2.554%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q253%
2Q Spread -5.553%
2Q Spread -4.553%
2Q Spread -0.553%
2Q Moneyline53%
2H O/U 21.551%
Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.551%
Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 14.551%
Spread -3.550%
Spread -17.550%
Spread -20.550%
O/U 45.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
Alabama O/U 32.550%
Tennessee O/U 26.550%
Tennessee O/U 32.550%
Tennessee O/U 35.550%
Alabama 2H O/U 11.550%
Alabama 2H O/U 13.550%
Alabama 2H O/U 15.550%
Tennessee 2H O/U 12.550%
Tennessee 2H O/U 14.550%
Tennessee 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Alabama vs. Tennessee: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Alabama vs. Tennessee: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Alabama vs. Tennessee: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Alabama vs. Tennessee: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Alabama vs. Tennessee: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Alabama vs. Tennessee: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Alabama O/U 3.550%
Tennessee O/U 2.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.549%
4Q Spread -1.549%
4Q Spread -2.548%
Alabama 1H O/U 11.547%
Alabama 1H O/U 13.547%
Tennessee 1H O/U 14.547%
Tennessee 1H O/U 16.547%
1H Moneyline47%
Spread -4.546%
2Q O/U 13.546%
2Q O/U 16.546%
Alabama 1H O/U 15.546%
Tennessee 1H O/U 12.546%
2Q Spread -7.546%
O/U 47.543%
3Q O/U 10.542%
Spread -5.538%
Spread -6.536%
O/U 49.536%
Tennessee O/U 23.536%
4Q Spread -3.535%
Spread -1.534%
3Q O/U 13.533%
Alabama O/U 26.533%
Alabama O/U 29.533%
O/U 51.532%
Spread -7.530%
Spread -8.527%
Spread -2.527%
O/U 75.526%
O/U 73.525%
Tennessee O/U 29.525%
Spread -10.523%
Spread -3.523%
O/U 53.523%
Spread -4.521%
3Q O/U 16.521%
O/U 55.518%
Spread -5.517%
Spread -13.514%
Spread -6.514%
Spread -14.513%
Spread -7.513%
O/U 57.513%
3Q O/U 19.513%
Spread -8.511%
Spread -16.510%
O/U 59.510%
O/U 61.59%
Spread -17.58%
O/U 63.58%
Spread -10.57%
O/U 65.56%
O/U 67.56%
O/U 69.56%
Spread -20.55%
Spread -13.55%
Spread -14.55%
Spread -16.55%
O/U 71.53%
1H O/U 24.51%
1H O/U 27.51%
1H O/U 30.51%
1H O/U 33.51%
2Q O/U 19.51%
1H Spread -9.51%
1H Spread -7.51%
1H Spread -6.51%
1H Spread -5.51%
1H Spread -2.51%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
1H Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Alabama vs. Tennessee. In the upcoming college football game between Alabama and Tennessee, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game. This market will resolve to "…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1H O/U 21.5 at 100% for "Alabama vs. Tennessee".

1H O/U 21.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $519K.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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