Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 90% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 90% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 90% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 90% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 90% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 90% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 90% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 90% |
| Colorado Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 90% |
| Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 90% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 83% |
| Spread -1.5 | 79% |
| Spread -2.5 | 79% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 79% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 73% |
| Spread -3.5 | 70% |
| Spread -4.5 | 66% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 66% |
| Spread -5.5 | 64% |
| Spread -6.5 | 62% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 62% |
| O/U 37.5 | 61% |
| Spread -8.5 | 60% |
| O/U 35.5 | 57% |
| O/U 39.5 | 55% |
| Spread -7.5 | 52% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -30.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Baylor O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Colorado vs. Baylor: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Colorado vs. Baylor: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Colorado vs. Baylor: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Colorado vs. Baylor: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado vs. Baylor: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado vs. Baylor: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Baylor O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -9.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| Spread -15.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 43% |
| Spread -10.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| Colorado O/U 16.5 | 41% |
| Spread -11.5 | 39% |
| Spread -18.5 | 38% |
| Spread -13.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| O/U 41.5 | 33% |
| O/U 57.5 | 30% |
| O/U 67.5 | 30% |
| Spread -14.5 | 29% |
| O/U 61.5 | 29% |
| O/U 63.5 | 29% |
| O/U 45.5 | 27% |
| Spread -12.5 | 26% |
| Spread -16.5 | 26% |
| Colorado O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| Baylor O/U 27.5 | 25% |
| O/U 43.5 | 23% |
| Baylor O/U 33.5 | 22% |
| Spread -17.5 | 21% |
| Baylor O/U 30.5 | 21% |
| Baylor O/U 36.5 | 20% |
| O/U 47.5 | 19% |
| Colorado vs. Baylor | 18% |
| Colorado O/U 22.5 | 17% |
| Spread -20.5 | 16% |
| O/U 49.5 | 14% |
| Colorado O/U 25.5 | 14% |
| Baylor O/U 39.5 | 13% |
| Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| O/U 51.5 | 11% |
| Spread -23.5 | 10% |
| O/U 53.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 12.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 18.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 21.5 | 10% |
| Colorado O/U 28.5 | 10% |
| Colorado 1H O/U 8.5 | 10% |
| Colorado 1H O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| Colorado 1H O/U 12.5 | 10% |
| Baylor 1H O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| Baylor 1H O/U 17.5 | 10% |
| Baylor 1H O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| 1H Moneyline | 10% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 10% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 10% |
| Spread -4.5 | 9% |
| Spread -6.5 | 8% |
| Spread -24.5 | 7% |
| Spread -27.5 | 6% |
| O/U 55.5 | 6% |
| Spread -7.5 | 4% |
| O/U 59.5 | 4% |
| Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| O/U 65.5 | 2% |
| O/U 71.5 | 2% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
Market context
The Colorado vs. Baylor prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Colorado and Baylor, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado" if Colorado win the game. This market will resolve t…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $325K.
Methodology
We track Colorado vs. Baylor across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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