Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska vs. Michigan State | 92% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 91% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 91% |
| O/U 34.5 | 88% |
| Spread -6.5 | 77% |
| Spread -2.5 | 76% |
| Spread -1.5 | 76% |
| O/U 28.5 | 76% |
| Spread -4.5 | 75% |
| O/U 30.5 | 75% |
| O/U 32.5 | 75% |
| Spread -3.5 | 74% |
| O/U 36.5 | 74% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 72% |
| Spread -7.5 | 71% |
| Spread -5.5 | 71% |
| O/U 38.5 | 71% |
| O/U 40.5 | 71% |
| Spread -10.5 | 65% |
| Spread -9.5 | 63% |
| O/U 42.5 | 63% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 63% |
| Spread -11.5 | 62% |
| Spread -13.5 | 57% |
| O/U 44.5 | 56% |
| Nebraska O/U 27.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 53% |
| Spread -8.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 52% |
| Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -23.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Nebraska O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Nebraska vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska vs. Michigan State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska vs. Michigan State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska vs. Michigan State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Spread -16.5 | 48% |
| Spread -14.5 | 46% |
| Spread -12.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| Nebraska O/U 30.5 | 44% |
| O/U 50.5 | 43% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| O/U 48.5 | 37% |
| O/U 52.5 | 37% |
| Michigan State O/U 21.5 | 37% |
| O/U 56.5 | 36% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 36% |
| Spread -19.5 | 35% |
| O/U 60.5 | 32% |
| O/U 54.5 | 31% |
| O/U 68.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| O/U 62.5 | 30% |
| Spread -20.5 | 28% |
| O/U 66.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| Michigan State O/U 27.5 | 24% |
| O/U 58.5 | 20% |
| Spread -11.5 | 14% |
| Spread -4.5 | 13% |
| Spread -1.5 | 11% |
| Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| O/U 64.5 | 11% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| Spread -2.5 | 9% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
Market context
The Nebraska vs. Michigan State prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Nebraska and Michigan State, scheduled for September 26 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nebraska" if Nebraska win the game. This market will re…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $260K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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