Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
88% | 12% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
88% | 12% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 88% |
| O/U 37.5 | 80% |
| O/U 39.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 75% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| O/U 41.5 | 70% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 12.5 | 70% |
| Spread -0.5 | 67% |
| O/U 43.5 | 67% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 67% |
| UTSA O/U 23.5 | 66% |
| Spread -1.5 | 65% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 65% |
| Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 62% |
| O/U 45.5 | 60% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 58% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 57% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 12.5 | 57% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| O/U 47.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| South Florida O/U 20.5 | 54% |
| Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 53% |
| Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| O/U 49.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| South Florida vs. UTSA: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| South Florida vs. UTSA: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| South Florida vs. UTSA: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UTSA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UTSA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| South Florida vs. UTSA: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida vs. UTSA: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida vs. UTSA: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -6.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 15.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| O/U 51.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| UTSA O/U 26.5 | 45% |
| UTSA O/U 29.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| South Florida O/U 23.5 | 44% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 43% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 16.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| O/U 53.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 41% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| Spread -8.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 39% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 37% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| 1H Moneyline | 36% |
| Spread -10.5 | 35% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 35% |
| O/U 55.5 | 34% |
| UTSA O/U 32.5 | 34% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 16.5 | 34% |
| South Florida vs. UTSA | 33% |
| Spread -0.5 | 33% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 33% |
| O/U 57.5 | 32% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| Spread -13.5 | 30% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 30% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 29% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 29% |
| Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 28% |
| O/U 59.5 | 27% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 27% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 15.5 | 27% |
| Spread -14.5 | 26% |
| South Florida O/U 26.5 | 25% |
| South Florida O/U 29.5 | 25% |
| South Florida O/U 32.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 25% |
| Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| Spread -16.5 | 24% |
| O/U 61.5 | 24% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 24% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 24% |
| UTSA O/U 35.5 | 24% |
| Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| Spread -17.5 | 21% |
| O/U 63.5 | 21% |
| Spread -5.5 | 20% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 19% |
| Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| Spread -20.5 | 17% |
| O/U 65.5 | 17% |
| O/U 67.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 13% |
| Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| O/U 69.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| O/U 71.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| O/U 73.5 | 7% |
| O/U 75.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 4% |
| Spread -17.5 | 4% |
| Spread -16.5 | 4% |
Market context
The South Florida vs. UTSA prediction market currently prices this outcome at 88% YES. In the upcoming college football game between South Florida and UTSA, scheduled for October 8 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Florida" if South Florida win the game. This market will …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $280K.
Methodology
This page reviews South Florida vs. UTSA across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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