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Virginia vs. SMU

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Virginia vs. SMU" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

O/U 35.5 88% O/U 37.5 83% 2Q O/U 7.5 83% O/U 39.5 82% Volume: $93K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Virginia vs. SMU

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
88% 12% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
88% 12% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 35.588%
O/U 37.583%
2Q O/U 7.583%
O/U 39.582%
Spread -0.576%
O/U 41.576%
SMU O/U 23.576%
Spread -1.575%
4Q O/U 7.575%
Spread -2.574%
O/U 43.572%
2Q O/U 10.569%
Spread -3.568%
Spread -4.566%
O/U 45.566%
1H Spread -2.565%
Spread -5.563%
3Q O/U 7.563%
Spread -6.562%
O/U 47.562%
4Q O/U 10.562%
1Q O/U 7.561%
2Q O/U 13.561%
SMU O/U 26.561%
O/U 49.557%
SMU O/U 29.557%
SMU 2H O/U 12.556%
1H Spread -4.556%
2H Spread -2.556%
1Q Spread -2.556%
Spread -7.555%
1H Spread -5.555%
2Q Spread -2.555%
2H Spread -0.554%
Spread -8.553%
1H O/U 24.553%
4Q O/U 13.553%
2Q Spread -0.553%
Virginia O/U 20.552%
SMU 1H O/U 14.552%
Spread -9.552%
1H Spread -6.552%
1Q Spread -0.552%
O/U 51.551%
1H O/U 21.551%
Virginia 2H O/U 11.551%
Spread -20.550%
1H O/U 33.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
Virginia O/U 26.550%
Virginia O/U 29.550%
Virginia O/U 32.550%
Virginia 1H O/U 11.550%
Virginia 1H O/U 15.550%
SMU 1H O/U 12.550%
Virginia 2H O/U 15.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Virginia vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
SMU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
SMU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
SMU Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
SMU Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
SMU Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
SMU Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
SMU Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
SMU Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Virginia vs. SMU: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Virginia vs. SMU: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
1Q Spread -5.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
2H Moneyline50%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
SMU 1H O/U 16.549%
3Q O/U 10.548%
2H Spread -4.548%
1Q Spread -3.548%
1Q Spread -4.548%
2Q Spread -3.548%
Spread -10.547%
SMU 2H O/U 14.547%
3Q Spread -2.547%
1Q O/U 10.546%
Virginia 2H O/U 13.546%
SMU 2H O/U 16.546%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q246%
2Q Spread -4.546%
O/U 53.545%
1H O/U 27.545%
2Q O/U 16.545%
3Q O/U 13.545%
SMU O/U 32.545%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q444%
Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.543%
1H Spread -7.543%
Spread -13.542%
Virginia 1H O/U 13.542%
Virginia vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.542%
3Q Spread -3.542%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q141%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q341%
Virginia O/U 2.541%
SMU O/U 3.541%
O/U 55.540%
Virginia O/U 23.540%
Virginia vs. SMU: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.540%
1H Spread -9.540%
2H O/U 27.539%
1Q O/U 13.539%
Spread -14.538%
Virginia vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.538%
Game Goes to Overtime37%
O/U 57.536%
1H O/U 30.536%
Spread -16.535%
4Q O/U 16.535%
2H Spread -7.535%
4Q Spread -3.535%
2Q O/U 19.534%
SMU O/U 35.534%
4Q Spread -2.532%
Spread -17.531%
O/U 59.530%
1Q Moneyline30%
O/U 61.528%
2H O/U 30.528%
2Q Spread -7.527%
Spread -20.526%
3Q O/U 16.526%
1H Moneyline25%
Virginia vs. SMU24%
Spread -0.524%
1Q O/U 16.524%
O/U 63.523%
Spread -1.522%
1Q Spread -7.522%
Spread -2.521%
4Q O/U 19.520%
O/U 65.519%
O/U 67.518%
1Q O/U 19.518%
Spread -3.517%
3Q O/U 19.517%
Spread -4.515%
Spread -5.514%
Spread -6.513%
O/U 69.512%
O/U 71.511%
Spread -7.510%
Spread -8.59%
O/U 73.59%
O/U 75.58%
Spread -16.57%
Spread -10.57%
Spread -17.56%
Spread -13.55%
Spread -14.53%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 88% probability to virginia vs. smu. In the upcoming college football game between Virginia and SMU, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Virginia" if Virginia win the game. This market will resolve to "SM…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 35.5 at 88% for "Virginia vs. SMU".

O/U 35.5 88% Other 12%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $93K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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