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Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs paiN (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs paiN (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs largadosypelados (+3.5) 100% Map 3 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs largadosypelados (+3.5) 90% Volume: $205K Liquidity: $562K Closes: 11 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs paiN (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs largadosypelados (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs largadosypelados (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-6.5) vs largadosypelados (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-9.5) vs largadosypelados (+9.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs largadosypelados (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-6.5) vs largadosypelados (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-12.5) vs largadosypelados (+12.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-9.5) vs largadosypelados (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-6.5) vs largadosypelados (+6.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5)0%

Market context

Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs paiN (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between largadosypelados and paiN in the RES Showdown South America Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 10 at 4:00PM ET. This market will…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs paiN (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs paiN (BO3) - RES… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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