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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Any Player Rampage 59% Any Player Ultra Kill 58% Both Teams Beat Roshan 52% First Blood in Game 1? 52% Volume: $95K Liquidity: $261K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
59% 41% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
59% 41% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Player Rampage59%
Any Player Ultra Kill58%
Both Teams Beat Roshan52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?52%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?51%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
First Blood in Game 2?48%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)41%
Game 1 Winner37%
Game 2 Winner37%
Match Winner33%
Both Teams Beat Roshan28%
Both Teams Beat Roshan28%
Any Player Ultra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Any Player Ultra Kill27%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Any Player Rampage25%
Any Player Rampage6%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: nigma galaxy vs betboom team (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs stands at 59% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 Quarterfinal 1 match between Nigma Galaxy and BetBoom Team in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 16 at 7:00AM ET. This m…

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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