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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 67% Game 2 Winner 63% Any Player Rampage 62% Game 1 Winner 61% Volume: $63K Liquidity: $454K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
67% 33% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
67% 33% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner67%
Game 2 Winner63%
Any Player Rampage62%
Game 1 Winner61%
Any Player Ultra Kill57%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks53%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime51%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)41%
Both Teams Beat Roshan38%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks28%
Any Player Ultra Kill28%
Any Player Ultra Kill27%
Any Player Rampage8%
Any Player Rampage6%

Market context

The Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 67% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Team Yandex and Nigma Galaxy in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This ma…

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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