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Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots 100% Casemiro: 1+ goals 100% Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots 100% Ayase Ueda: 2+ shots 100% Volume: $562K Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots100%
Casemiro: 1+ goals100%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots100%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ shots100%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ shots100%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ shots100%
Casemiro: 1+ shots100%
Casemiro: 2+ shots100%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ shots on target100%
Casemiro: 1+ shots on target100%
Casemiro: 2+ shots on target100%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots on target100%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ shots100%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ shots100%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots100%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots100%
Rayan: 1+ shots100%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots100%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots100%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ assists100%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots100%
Casemiro: 1+ goals + assists100%
Endrick: 1+ shots100%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots on target100%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots on target100%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goals + assists100%
Bruno Guimarães: 3+ shots100%
Bruno Guimarães: 4+ shots100%
Junya Itō: 1+ shots100%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots on target50%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots on target50%
Alisson: 2+ saves50%
Rayan: 3+ shots0%
Rayan: 4+ shots0%
Rayan: 5+ shots0%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots0%
Vinícius Júnior: 5+ shots0%
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals + assists0%
Neymar Jr: 2+ goals + assists0%
Neymar Jr: 3+ goals + assists0%
Neymar Jr: 4+ goals + assists0%
Rayan: 1+ goals + assists0%
Rayan: 2+ goals + assists0%
Rayan: 3+ goals + assists0%
Rayan: 4+ goals + assists0%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals + assists0%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals0%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ goals0%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goals0%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ goals0%
Rayan: 3+ goals0%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals0%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals0%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals0%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ shots0%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ shots0%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ shots0%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ shots0%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ assists0%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ assists0%
Neymar Jr: 1+ assists0%
Neymar Jr: 2+ assists0%
Rayan: 1+ assists0%
Rayan: 2+ assists0%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assists0%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ assists0%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ shots on target0%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ shots on target0%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ shots on target0%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ shots on target0%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ shots on target0%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ shots on target0%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ shots on target0%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ shots on target0%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ shots on target0%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots on target0%
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots on target0%
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots on target0%
Neymar Jr: 3+ shots on target0%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ shots0%
Lucas Paquetá: 4+ shots0%
Igor Thiago: 1+ goals0%
Igor Thiago: 2+ goals0%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ goals0%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ goals0%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ goals0%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ goals0%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ goals0%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ goals0%
Ayase Ueda: 5+ shots0%
Endrick: 3+ shots0%
Endrick: 4+ shots0%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots0%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots0%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots0%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ shots0%
Koki Ogawa: 4+ shots0%
Koki Ogawa: 5+ shots0%
Igor Thiago: 3+ goals0%
Neymar Jr: 5+ shots0%
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots0%
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots0%
Rayan: 2+ shots0%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ assists0%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ assists0%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ assists0%
Casemiro: 1+ assists0%
Casemiro: 2+ assists0%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ assists0%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ assists0%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ assists0%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ assists0%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ assists0%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ assists0%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots0%
Matheus Cunha: 5+ shots0%
Neymar Jr: 3+ shots0%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ goals0%
Endrick: 1+ goals0%
Endrick: 2+ goals0%
Endrick: 3+ goals0%
Bruno Guimarães: 3+ goals + assists0%
Bruno Guimarães: 4+ goals + assists0%
Casemiro: 2+ goals + assists0%
Casemiro: 3+ goals + assists0%
Casemiro: 4+ goals + assists0%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ goals + assists0%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ goals + assists0%
Daizen Maeda: 3+ goals + assists0%
Daizen Maeda: 4+ goals + assists0%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ goals + assists0%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ goals + assists0%
Keito Nakamura: 3+ goals + assists0%
Keito Nakamura: 4+ goals + assists0%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goals + assists0%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ goals + assists0%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ goals + assists0%
Lucas Paquetá: 4+ goals + assists0%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals + assists0%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals + assists0%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals + assists0%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ goals0%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ shots0%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ shots0%
Endrick: 2+ shots0%
Endrick: 5+ shots0%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots0%
Igor Thiago: 5+ shots0%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ shots0%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ shots0%
Casemiro: 2+ goals0%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ goals0%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ goals0%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ goals0%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ goals0%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goals0%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ goals0%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals0%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals0%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals0%
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals0%
Neymar Jr: 2+ goals0%
Neymar Jr: 3+ goals0%
Rayan: 1+ goals0%
Rayan: 2+ goals0%
Rayan: 1+ shots on target0%
Rayan: 2+ shots on target0%
Rayan: 3+ shots on target0%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots on target0%
Alisson: 3+ saves0%
Alisson: 4+ saves0%
Alisson: 5+ saves0%
Keisuke Ōsako: 2+ saves0%
Keisuke Ōsako: 3+ saves0%
Keisuke Ōsako: 4+ saves0%
Keisuke Ōsako: 5+ saves0%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals + assists0%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ goals + assists0%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ goals + assists0%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ goals + assists0%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ goals + assists0%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ goals + assists0%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals + assists0%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals + assists0%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ goals + assists0%
Lucas Paquetá: 5+ shots0%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ shots0%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ shots0%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ shots0%
Luiz Henrique: 4+ shots0%
Luiz Henrique: 5+ shots0%
Neymar Jr: 4+ shots0%
Raphinha: 1+ goals0%
Raphinha: 2+ goals0%
Raphinha: 3+ goals0%
Endrick: 1+ shots on target0%
Endrick: 2+ shots on target0%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots on target0%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots on target0%
Endrick: 3+ shots on target0%
Endrick: 4+ shots on target0%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots on target0%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots on target0%
Luiz Henrique: 4+ shots on target0%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots on target0%
Neymar Jr: 4+ shots on target0%
Raphinha: 1+ shots on target0%
Raphinha: 2+ shots on target0%
Raphinha: 3+ shots on target0%
Raphinha: 4+ shots on target0%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots on target0%
Danilo Santos: 1+ goals0%
Danilo Santos: 2+ goals0%
Danilo Santos: 1+ shots0%
Danilo Santos: 2+ shots0%
Danilo Santos: 1+ assists0%
Danilo Santos: 2+ assists0%
Danilo Santos: 1+ shots on target0%
Danilo Santos: 2+ shots on target0%
Danilo Santos: 1+ goals + assists0%
Danilo Santos: 2+ goals + assists0%
Danilo Santos: 3+ goals + assists0%
Danilo Santos: 4+ goals + assists0%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ shots on target0%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ shots on target0%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ shots on target0%
Koki Ogawa: 4+ shots on target0%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ shots on target0%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ shots on target0%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ shots on target0%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ shots on target0%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ shots on target0%
Junya Itō: 1+ assists0%
Junya Itō: 2+ assists0%
Junya Itō: 1+ shots on target0%
Junya Itō: 2+ shots on target0%
Keito Nakamura: 3+ shots on target0%
Junya Itō: 1+ goals0%
Junya Itō: 2+ goals0%
Casemiro: 3+ shots0%
Casemiro: 4+ shots0%
Daizen Maeda: 3+ shots0%
Daizen Maeda: 4+ shots0%
Junya Itō: 2+ shots0%
Junya Itō: 3+ shots0%
Junya Itō: 4+ shots0%
Keito Nakamura: 3+ shots0%
Keito Nakamura: 4+ shots0%
Junya Itō: 1+ goals + assists0%
Junya Itō: 2+ goals + assists0%
Junya Itō: 3+ goals + assists0%
Junya Itō: 4+ goals + assists0%

Market context

The Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Japan, scheduled for June 29 at 1:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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