Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
14% | 86% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
14% | 86% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway | 14% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Norway | 10% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway | 10% |
| Any Other Score | 9% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 2 Norway | 8% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Norway | 7% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 0 Norway | 7% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 1 Norway | 7% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 2 Norway | 7% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Norway | 5% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 0 Norway | 4% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 3 Norway | 4% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 3 Norway | 3% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 1 Norway | 2% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 2 Norway | 2% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 0 Norway | 1% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 3 Norway | 1% |
Market context
The Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Exact Score prediction market currently prices this outcome at 14% YES. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway match…
Methodology
This page reviews Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Exact Score on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →