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Colombia vs. Ghana - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Colombia vs. Ghana - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 91% Colombia O/U 0.5 83% Team to Advance 78% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 72% Volume: $455K Liquidity: $2.5M Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Colombia vs. Ghana - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.591%
Colombia O/U 0.583%
Team to Advance78%
2nd Half O/U 0.572%
O/U 1.569%
1st Half O/U 0.565%
Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.562%
Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.554%
Colombia O/U 1.553%
Ghana O/U 0.547%
O/U 2.542%
Both Teams to Score40%
2nd Half O/U 1.540%
Colombia (-1.5)38%
Ghana 2nd Half O/U 0.533%
1st Half O/U 1.529%
Colombia 2nd Half O/U 1.528%
Colombia O/U 2.525%
Will the Match Go to Extra Time?24%
Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.523%
O/U 3.522%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half20%
Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.518%
2nd Half O/U 2.518%
Colombia (-2.5)17%
Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?17%
Both Teams to Score in First Half14%
Ghana O/U 1.513%
O/U 4.59%
1st Half O/U 2.59%
Ghana 2nd Half O/U 1.57%
Colombia (-3.5)6%
O/U 5.54%
Ghana (-1.5)3%
Ghana O/U 2.53%
Colombia (-4.5)2%
Ghana 1st Half O/U 1.52%
Ghana (-2.5)1%
Ghana (-3.5)1%
O/U 6.51%
O/U 8.51%
Colombia (-5.5)1%
O/U 7.51%
Ghana (-4.5)0%
Ghana (-5.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 91% chance of colombia vs. ghana - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 3 at 9:30 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Colombia vs. Ghana - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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