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Mexico vs. England - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Mexico vs. England - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 89% England O/U 0.5 72% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 71% O/U 1.5 66% Volume: $163K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Mexico vs. England - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.589%
England O/U 0.572%
2nd Half O/U 0.571%
O/U 1.566%
1st Half O/U 0.564%
Mexico O/U 0.564%
England 2nd Half O/U 0.551%
England 2nd Half O/U 1.551%
Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Both Teams to Score48%
Team to Advance47%
England 1st Half O/U 0.541%
O/U 2.539%
Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.537%
2nd Half O/U 1.536%
England O/U 1.534%
Will the Match Go to Extra Time?31%
Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.530%
1st Half O/U 1.527%
Mexico O/U 1.527%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half22%
Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?21%
O/U 3.520%
England (-1.5)17%
Both Teams to Score in First Half17%
2nd Half O/U 2.513%
Mexico (-1.5)12%
England O/U 2.512%
England 1st Half O/U 1.510%
O/U 4.58%
1st Half O/U 2.58%
Mexico O/U 2.58%
Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.58%
England (-2.5)6%
Mexico (-2.5)3%
O/U 5.53%
England (-3.5)2%
Mexico (-4.5)2%
Mexico (-3.5)1%
England (-4.5)1%
O/U 6.51%
O/U 7.51%
O/U 8.51%
Mexico (-5.5)0%
England (-5.5)0%

Market context

The Mexico vs. England - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 89% YES. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 5 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Mexico vs. England - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

Sports