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Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni Set 2 Winner 100% Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni Total Sets: O/U 2.5 73% Volume: $807K Liquidity: $106K Closes: 13 Jul 2026
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Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni Set 2 Winner100%
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni Total Sets: O/U 2.573%
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni65%
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni Match O/U 21.551%
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni Match O/U 22.551%
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni Match O/U 23.551%
Completed Match50%
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni Set Handicap +/-1.549%
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni Set Handicap +/-1.549%
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni Set 1 Winner0%
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, bogota: facundo mena vs alafia ayeni stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Mena and Alafia Ayeni in the Bogota, originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Facun…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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