Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 75% |
| Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton Match O/U 21.5 | 75% |
| Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton Match O/U 22.5 | 59% |
| Completed Match | 51% |
| Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton Match O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 45% |
| Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton Set 2 Winner | 28% |
| Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton | 13% |
| Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 1% |
| Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton Set 1 Winner | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of los cabos open: dalibor svrcina vs adam walton. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Dalibor Svrcina and Adam Walton in the Los Cabos Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve…
Methodology
We track Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton on PolyGram
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