Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Quito: Angel Veliz vs Daniel Nunez Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Quito: Angel Veliz vs Daniel Nunez Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Quito: Angel Veliz vs Daniel Nunez Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Quito: Angel Veliz vs Daniel Nunez Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Quito: Angel Veliz vs Daniel Nunez Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Quito: Angel Veliz vs Daniel Nunez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Quito: Angel Veliz vs Daniel Nunez Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Quito: Angel Veliz vs Daniel Nunez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Quito: Angel Veliz vs Daniel Nunez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Quito: Angel Veliz vs Daniel Nunez | 0% |
| Quito: Angel Veliz vs Daniel Nunez Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Quito: Angel Veliz vs Daniel Nunez Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Quito: Angel Veliz vs Daniel Nunez Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Quito: Angel Veliz vs Daniel Nunez Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Quito: Angel Veliz vs Daniel Nunez Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Quito: Angel Veliz vs Daniel Nunez prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Angel Veliz and Daniel Nunez in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Angel Veliz' if Angel Veli…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $157K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Quito: Angel Veliz vs Daniel Nunez on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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