Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Any Other Score | 100% |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 0 - 0 CR Flamengo | 0% |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 0 - 1 CR Flamengo | 0% |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1 - 0 CR Flamengo | 0% |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 0 - 2 CR Flamengo | 0% |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1 - 1 CR Flamengo | 0% |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 2 - 0 CR Flamengo | 0% |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 0 - 3 CR Flamengo | 0% |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1 - 2 CR Flamengo | 0% |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 2 - 1 CR Flamengo | 0% |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 3 - 0 CR Flamengo | 0% |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1 - 3 CR Flamengo | 0% |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 2 - 2 CR Flamengo | 0% |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 3 - 1 CR Flamengo | 0% |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 2 - 3 CR Flamengo | 0% |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 3 - 2 CR Flamengo | 0% |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 3 - 3 CR Flamengo | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this contract at **0% YES** today, so the market is effectively saying the listed exact score is not expected for Chapecoense v Flamengo. On Polymarket, that view is expressed through **USDC** on **Polygon** via conditional tokens, and settlement will depend only on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not extra time or penalties. The match is currently shown by 365Scores as taking place at **Arena Condá** in Chapecó on **23 July 2026, 24:30**, which is consistent with a late-night local start and leaves little room for rescheduling noise inside the current window.[2]
Historical framing points towards Flamengo being the stronger side in the head-to-head record: FootyStats says the clubs have met **17 times**, with Flamengo winning **12** and Chapecoense **2**.[1] For an exact-score market, that kind of imbalance matters less than it does in a win/loss market, because even a comfortable Flamengo result still resolves to **Any Other Score** unless it matches one of the listed outcomes exactly. A 0% market here usually reflects both the narrowness of the target score and the bookmaker-style reality that exact scores are low-frequency outcomes, even when one team is clearly favoured.
The main catalysts are straightforward: any late team-news from Flamengo, a shift in the scheduled kick-off, or an official competition update that changes the match context. Traders should watch for confirmed line-ups, travel or rotation decisions, and any postponement or abandonment risk, because the market settlement depends on the match being played and on the score at full-time only. 365Scores currently lists the fixture as scheduled and timed, which is the key operational fact Polymarket users need when judging whether a 0% print is justified or merely reflecting thin interest.[2]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CR Flamengo - … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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