Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
65% | 35% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
65% | 35% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| SC Internacional | 65% |
| Draw | 23% |
| Clube do Remo | 14% |
Market context
SC Internacional travel to face Clube do Remo in a Série A fixture on Monday, 17 August 2026. Polymarket currently prices an Internacional victory at 65 cents on the dollar, reflecting moderate confidence in the Porto Alegre side. The conditional token structure on Polygon settles YES if Internacional wins outright; traders holding USDC positions are effectively backing them to take three points from a side fighting relegation battles in Brazil's top division.
Historical context matters here. Internacional finished 2025 in mid-table, whilst Remo has cycled between Série A and B in recent seasons, typically operating as a lower-ranked side when promoted. When established clubs face promotion-standard opponents at home, Polymarket's pricing tends toward 60–70 per cent for the favourite, though travel fatigue and fixture congestion can compress those odds. Remo's home record in Série A has historically been volatile; they've stolen points against stronger sides but rarely as consistent performers.
Traders should monitor team news releases in the week before settlement. Internacional's injury status—particularly among midfield and attacking personnel—will shape their ability to control possession. Remo's recent form heading into mid-August will signal whether they're mounting a genuine survival push or fading. Fixture scheduling across the league may also affect rotation decisions; if either side plays a midweek cup match beforehand, fatigue could shift the underlying probabilities. The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on 17 August, giving traders until full-time whistle to adjust positions based on live match developments.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $56K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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